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From Tom Brady to the Red Sox: Baseball column #1 of 2017
Hi friends. I post here a link to my first piece for Major League Fantasy Sports for 2017. This is not my day job. But, it’s a great thing when one can join a good bunch of folks and write about something like baseball. Serendipitously, I ran the analysis and wrote the piece just before the Super Bowl and before I left with a group of Washington and Lee alumni to visit and discuss Cuba. More to come. Comments welcome.
The Mad Professor’s Re-Entry. Ranking the Top 100 Starting Pitchers for 2017, Part Uno.
Moonlighting: Reflections on 2016 Baseball Analysis
I offer here a list of links to my 2016 Baseball articles. Some were pretty solid. Others, not as solid as I’d like (apologies to Baltimore and Toronto, whom I underestimated).
The columns received differing levels of play in several different venues. The Studs and Duds columns did quite well. My early season analysis of player rankings and dollar values also score a lot of hits.
This really is a great deal of fun and gives me the opportunity to dedicate some time to the analysis of a sport I love. Many thanks to my colleagues at Major League Fantasy Sports for the chance to trade notes and work with them. Check out the site. It’s a great source of commentary, snarkiness, humor and fine analysis of all sports. Some of the writers are superior analysts of really granular data and trends. My stuff moves back and forth between macro level analysis of players and the league as a whole (see the historical trend pieces) and more granular analysis of pitching. Heck, they even let me put on my professor’s hat and edit. Nothing worse that good sports analysis marred by a split infinitive, gerund without a possessive or dangling modifier…
Anyway, it’s awesome to be able to do this. Baseball is a fantastic sport that appeals to the romantic as well as the geek. If you want to understand Americans, strip away politics and other stuff and talk sports. Even folks who can’t stand one another will be upset if they know that even a sworn enemy is eating turkey and watching football alone on Thanksgiving… Sports get us through long winters and hot summers. Noah Syndergaard said it poignantly in an epic tweet after the Mets lost to the Giants:
Baseball has a way of ripping your 
out, stabbing it, putting it back in your chest, then healing itself just in time for Spring Training.
Now then…
“September Studs and Duds”–a reflection on who paid dividends and who killed our rosters
“Strategic Stat Categories and Late Season Moves“–An historical analysis of trends in key counting stats–Saves, Quality Starts, etc.
“Go Big or Go Home: A Rumination of Midsummer Baseball Trends”–a little ancient Greek navigation, some stellar metaphors, and baseball…
Fourth of July, All-Star Break Analysis
Early Season Studs and Duds Analysis, Part II
Early Season Studs and Duds Analysis, Part I
The 25% Solution–Analysis of the first quarter of the Season
Mid-May Musings on Pitching Prowess and Proficiency–An alliterative analysis of Pitching stats. More than any other aspect of the game, pitching stats tell you an incredible amount about pitchers. Other stats are harder to parse.
Lucky Charms and (un?)Lucky Pitchers–oh…just a little anger-inspired analysis of a pitcher who was killing me. I included several other early season duds to provide cover and credibility. I hope Chris Archer was not upset…
Statistical Analysis of Pitching–rant early and rant often. Seriously. Why wait till July to complain about fantasy baseball. Early-season rants will enable you to refine your venomous words so that the pro players get REALLY upset at you later…
“Ailing Aces“–A pretty insightful analysis of what was going on with three stud pitchers who were underperforming.
Week 3 Analysis of the American League East–Wow. Someone must have misread my c.v. They handed this analysis over to a Red Sox fan.
Week 1 Statistically Unsound Assessment of the AL and NL East–OK. You want analysis with virtually no useful data? I can do that…
2016 AL and NL East Predictions–Spring Training is over, the season is not under way. So, predict… Actually, not half bad. Apologies to Toronto and Baltimore. Well, not really…
Preseason Analysis of the San Diego Padres. Waiting for Todd Gurley…
Preseason Analysis of the Philadelphia Phillies. Not so sunny in Philadelphia. Waiting for a year or two. Lots of good baby pitchers here.
Preseason Analysis of the Pittsburgh Pirates. When Fantasy is better than Reality…
Preseason Analysis of the Baltimore Orioles. Wow. They did better than I anticipated. Where did that pitching come from?
Preseason Analysis of the Boston Red Sox. OK. I may have been a homer…but I was right on this one–David Price’s underwhelming performance notwithstanding. Ojala que las estrellas nos bendiguen..
Preseason Analysis of Starting Pitchers–Part n. OK. SO, they wanted me to come up with a tag line. Jettisoned (along with the platinum blonde soul patch) later…
Preseason Starting Pitching Analysis–some pretty decent wisdom and preseason here.
Celebrating the Super Bowl and the Last Days of the Hot Stove League. Column #1
Midseason MLB analysis: Major League Fantasy Sports
My latest analysis is here at majorleaguefantasysports.
Pretty amazing data in the MLB this year. Batting and pitching are both strong. The nuances of data are part of the beauty of baseball.
Mid-Season Baseball Analysis 2016
In lieu of commenting on an ever-depressing political landscape, I’ve dedicated a lot of energy to baseball analysis for Majorleaguefantasysports. This is a great site operated by a great group of folks who are dedicated to sports and analysis.
My latest couple of columns embody some macro-level analysis of the first half of 2016 for both pitchers and batters. One of the intriguing aspect of baseball analysis and, in particular, its translation into fantasy analysis, is the connection between players’ performance in real life and their valuation in the fantasy markets. This parallels any analysis of stock prices or values at an auction: how do we take a complex portfolio of attractive and not-so-attractive assets and assign a particular dollar value or ranking (relative value) to it?
In this column, I address this with regard to batters. I followup in this column with a similar analysis of pitchers. Finally, in this column, I offer a reflection on the fickleness the relationship between value and performance.
More to come, of course. We are only halfway through the season.
Moonlighting: My latest baseball columns
It’s great to be writing on baseball again. The crisp spring air…the crack of the bat.
I’m now writing for majorleaguefantasysports.com. I’ve started the season doing analysis of Starting Pitchers. the first two columns are located here.
Comments welcome.
